Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000031 0.000035 0.000040 0.000045 0.000051 0.000057 0.000065
2024-10-13 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000057 0.000068 0.000082
2024-10-20 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000058 0.000074 0.000094
2024-10-27 0.000018 0.000025 0.000034 0.000046 0.000062 0.000081 0.000107
2024-11-03 0.000015 0.000023 0.000032 0.000045 0.000063 0.000086 0.000118
2024-11-10 0.000014 0.000022 0.000032 0.000046 0.000067 0.000094 0.000133
2024-11-17 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031 0.000047 0.000070 0.000102 0.000147
2024-11-24 0.000012 0.000020 0.000031 0.000048 0.000073 0.000109 0.000162
2024-12-01 0.000011 0.000018 0.000029 0.000047 0.000074 0.000113 0.000172
2024-12-08 0.000009 0.000017 0.000028 0.000046 0.000075 0.000117 0.000181
2024-12-15 0.000009 0.000016 0.000028 0.000047 0.000077 0.000123 0.000195
2024-12-22 0.000008 0.000016 0.000028 0.000048 0.000082 0.000132 0.000213
2024-12-29 0.000008 0.000015 0.000027 0.000049 0.000084 0.000139 0.000228
2025-01-05 0.000007 0.000015 0.000027 0.000050 0.000088 0.000148 0.000248
2025-01-12 0.000007 0.000014 0.000026 0.000049 0.000088 0.000151 0.000256
2025-01-19 0.000006 0.000013 0.000026 0.000049 0.000091 0.000158 0.000272
2025-01-26 0.000006 0.000012 0.000025 0.000049 0.000091 0.000162 0.000284
2025-02-02 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000050 0.000095 0.000171 0.000304
2025-02-09 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000051 0.000099 0.000180 0.000324
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000011 0.000025 0.000052 0.000102 0.000189 0.000344
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000011 0.000024 0.000051 0.000102 0.000192 0.000355
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000050 0.000102 0.000195 0.000366
2025-03-09 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000050 0.000105 0.000203 0.000385